Through the last decade, the Turkish economy grew at a yearly average rate of 5.7%' accompanied b y a total increase o f 40.8% i n primary energy consumption. Though growth i s expected to moderate in the long term, the share of value added by manufacturing in GDP has been accelerating since the middle o f the decade.? The continuation o f these trends will lead t o higher energy demand which may accentuate energy security vulnerabilities arising from Türkiye's energy import dependency. This is reaffirmed by the IEA reports that illuminate the rapid growth o f energy demand and consumption in Türkiye in the last decade, especially on the industrial side.4 Moreover, the security vulnerability concern i s further substantiated b y the fact that i t currently ranks only second to China in terms of rising energy demand and suffers from an alarmingly high rate o f dependency o n imports, indexed a t 74%, according t o the Ministry o f Foreign Affairs." Therefore, i t should be an immediate policy objective o f the Turkish state t o ensure energy supply security. Efforts have been made by the Ministry of Energy Natural Resources to construct a n energy strategy aiming t o counteract import dependency b y focusing o n bolstering domestic sources. The policies outlined by this strategy have been devised and executed under the aegis o f this ministry, via the Energy Market Regulatory Board and the Ministry o f Foreign Affairs.
This report attempts t o dissect these themes and conduct an exploratory analysis o f Türkiye's energy security efforts. It seeks to offer policy recommendations within the framework of Türkiye's energy transition, which is t o take place given the country's net-zero pledge by 2053.
